Today is Mnday October 23rd and its National Boston Creme Pie Day… Thats good eatin’ and you don’t have to fly to Boston to enjoy a slice!!
Statewide Conditions
State Weather Alerts
OklahomaMy Forecast Summary
Welcome to Clear Sky and the Oklahoma Forecast
This unseasonably warm afternoons will soon end. In fact we are in for a rude awakening thus Friday. We will see a 50 degree difference in temperatures over a span of 3 days.
A major shot of Arctic air will enter the plains on Wednesday. The clash of warm and cold air will set offf a round of severe weather on Wednesday and may see snow in Northern Kansas,
Storm Center
A few strong/severe storms capable of producing hail are possible across parts of southeast Minnesota, northeast Iowa and western Wisconsin, as well as over parts of southwest Texas and southeast New Mexico on Tuesday.
Oklahoma Pinpoint Forecast
Monday
A 20%t chance of showers and thunderstorms . Partly sunny, with a s
Monday Night
A 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, with a south wind 13 to 16 mph.
Tuesday
A 70% chance of showers and thunderstorm.s Cloudy, with a south wind 15 to 21 mph
Extended Forecast
Wednesday
A 60% chance o showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high nearin the mid 70s.
Friday
Sunny, with a high in the upper 60s.
Saturday
A 20% chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high nin the upper 50s.
Model Forecast Lows…Next 3 Mornings
I posted the Frost and Freeze Advisories for Kansas, Texas and Oklahoma earlier. The National Weather Service has issued a Freeze Warning while the models say temps in this area will stay above freezing.
There is a very good rule of thumb in forecasting that on evenings where winds go calm or very light, the Low Temperature will drop to or close to the Dew Point. There is an area centered around Elkhart and Liberal that dew points are at or below 32F. Thus the NWS went with a freeze warning.
Model Forecasts for the next 3 mornings… Sunday morning the NAM Model has temperatures in the Mid 30s for both Elkhart and Liberal. There are freezing temps just to the west at Raton,NM but that city is at 6500ft. The white line is 40F. Anything lower than 40 has a threat for frost especially in drainage areas of river valleys. That frost threat goes as far south as Lubbock.
Nonday AM… The Frost threat goes all the way to the Red River in Oklahoma. Freezing temps will be in Nebraska and Northern Kansas.
Tuesday AM…. The cold air shifts farher east into Iowa and Missouri. The frost threat also moves out od western Kansas, western Oklahoma and West Texas.
I have brought my tropicals in and have blankets ready for my tomato plants. This will be a Freeze/Frozt that can be surviveable by victory gardens with a few precautions.
