A Special Edition of the WEATHERAmerica Newsletter is online.

1) Global Summary shows the growing impacts of El Nino. The episode is making it difficult for tropical cyclones to form and hold together. And largely preventing systems from having strong impacts on the USA. The Madden-Julian Oscillation, now incoherent, should start to play an important role in weather for the Northern Hemisphere on October.

2) Complete model and analog breakdown of expected weather across North America for the month of October.

3) Numerical model and analog-derived forecasts for temperatures from October through March in the U.S. and Canada.

4) Complete breakdown of ENSO status and forecast (three model depictions) and analogs that I use in compiling the seasonal forecast. I am about a month away from releasing the Winter 2023-24 Outlook.

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